Nimer’s Notes: MSI Groups Day 5

At last, the final hurrah of the group stages. This day might get weird, since three of the six teams have already qualified for playoffs: no one knows how seriously they will play. We’re going to assume they play as if all the games matter because of seeding implications.

(Featured Image courtesy of LoL Esports Flickr)

First Half: G2 vs SKT, and FW vs CLG

We’re passing over RNG and SM because RNG’s players are much too expensive. SKT and G2 are still in contention for a playoff spot: G2 has to go 2-0 while SKT goes 0-2 in order to force a tiebreaker. The likelihood of that happening appears slim, what with SKT recovering some of its LCK playoff form yesterday. SKT may not be averaging the highest kill count in games, but it does well with punishing mistakes, and G2′s MSI has been bloated with them. Kim “Trick” Gang-yun might be worth drafting if one anticipates G2 getting the victory, since he’s pulled off some aggressive comeback plays on his own, but aside from him, SKT members will suit the roles better.

FW and CLG, on the other hand, is set to be another close game. Drafting Huang “Maple” Yi-Tang, Trevor “Stixxay” Hayes, and either of the supports give a cheap baseline of carries and supportive players. It might be possible to afford RNG’s players with a lineup consisting of CLG or FW players, so look for those opportunities.

 

Second Half: RNG vs SKT and G2 vs CLG

Now that RNG faces SKT, the prices of the players drop and we have ourselves a bountiful fantasy matchup. RNG and SKT had a long first game a few days ago, and despite RNG getting early leads, SKT’s play from behind stalled to allow more fights and almost comeback. This time around, if SKT doesn’t give RNG a huge early advantage, it can more than likely defeat RNG. Taking Bae “Bang” Jun-sik from SKT is the safest to pick up, since the rest of his team, including Lee “Faker” Sang-hyeok, have had questionable performances at times. Cho “Mata” Se-hyeong has been on fire all group stage, and Li “xiaohu” Yuan-Hao has been a standout midlaner as well, and have the talent to draw great points. CLG and G2 can be an awkward blood bath. CLG’s teamfighting has been strong while G2 looks incredibly disconnected. The mismatch in synergy can net Stixxay plenty of kills, while Jake “Xmithie” Puchero out pressures Trick in the early game. Darshan “Darshan” Upadhyaya will have no problems with Mateusz “Kikis” Szkudlarek in lane, so taking the typically low kill participation top laner is a solid draft.