Nimer’s Notes: EU LCS Week 5 Day 1

Thursday marks the halfway point of EU LCS. We’ve gotten familiar with the teams with and without substitutes, though there is still time for news to break on additional lineup changes. Regardless, there is going to be a massive throwdown that is the apple of our eyes.

(Featured Image Courtesy of LoL Esports Flickr)

Unicorns vs H2K

This is the most promising matchup for Fantasy. Both of these teams have exhibited strong macro play, understanding win conditions and pressure. This isn’t going to be a stomp for either side, but there will be plenty of action. UoL and H2K are in the three highest kill-count teams in the League at 115 and 102, respectively. H2K’s overall KDA is higher, however, since the squad has been more clean in teamfights and wards better for the split push.

It’s not a bad idea to pick players from both teams for this game, if both teams are cheaper this week. H2K’s players to draft are Konstantinos “FORG1VEN” Tzortziou-Napoleon, Andrei “Odoamne” Pascu, and Marcin “Jankos” Jankowski. FORG1VEN’s talents are obvious, and he’ll be picking up many of the last hits for kills, while Odoamne and Jankos’s higher kill participations will secure assist points. For UoL, consider Hampus “Fox” Myhre and Zdravets “Hylissang” Iliev Galabov. Fox, while having a high death percentage, has shown the ability to play either assassins or control mages, and could solo kill Marcin “SELFIE” Wolski should the substitute play this week. Hylissang is a big part of UoL’s engages, so drafting him will net you most of the assist points.

You can also choose to draft members from only one of these teams. It’s not unreasonable to assume that either side could steadily close the game out, but there’s great potential for a back and forth that you can take the risk on.

Yet Another Substitute

On Monday, it was reported that Fnatic dropped Lewis “Noxiak” Felix and replaced him with Johan “Klajbajk” Olsson, an LCS rookie. It’s unclear how this roster change will affect Fnatic in the long run, but it shouldn’t impact Fnatic negatively against Elements.

After a strong first two weeks, Elements have begun to lose against the best LCS teams. In this match, both Elements and Fnatic have the opportunity to assert a claim to the top half of the standings. Considering recent trends, Fnatic are likely to win this one. Its players in every position save support are superior quality, and while it’s floundered occasionally, it’s been against the best teams in the League. Fabian “Febiven” Diepstraten will have no problem dispatching Jérémy “Eika” Valdenaire. Lee “Spirit” Da-yoon is another mentionable pick up since he has been playing aggressive carry style junglers such as Quinn and is currently tied for the most kills on Fnatic with Noh “Gamsu” Yeong-jin.

Depending on the salaries, Fnatic could offer you some security while you take a gamble on an upset. Keep an eye on this one.

Origen vs Splyce

Another one-sided match, Origen should be able to handle Splyce. If Origen’s players are more expensive, pass this match over as UoL vs H2K and Fnatic vs Elements are going to have better options. However, if Origen is more reasonable, or if you want a great flex player, Jesper “Zven” Svenningsen is guaranteed to help. The game could be dragged out somewhat through Origen making some mistakes, but that will only increase the haul of fantasy points. Still, it’s not as promising as the other match-ups.

G2 Esports vs Team Vitality

This is the weirdest match up of the day. G2 Esports is a team that has looked solid in every aspect of the game, and Vitality have been one of the most controlled teams in the League. The issue here is that while G2 gets more kills (it currently leads the league), Vitality is low in both kill count and death count (the only team with fewer deaths than Vitality is H2K). Is this going to be a low kill game through Vitality’s macro pressure or will Vitality be forced to fight by G2? It’s hard to say, and you should avoid drafting from this match because of that.  

Roccat vs Giants

The two bottom place teams, Roccat and Giants, play in the last match of the day and this could be a chance for Giants to secure its first win. While unlikely, it’s something to consider as both sides’ ability to snowball lanes or pressure objectives properly can result in a back-and-forth set. The problem with betting on Giants is that we don’t know what Giants look like when they win: what players are stepping up? Who’s getting the kills or making the engages? It’s a risk with medium to high reward going for Giants, but maybe something to consider if you need dirt cheap picks.

Felix “Betsy” Edling looks like a cheap pick up that can get good fantasy points. Betsy has the highest kill participation on Roccat at 74 percent, will be against Isaac “xPePii” Flores, who has been giving up solo kills in lane in nearly every game. It’s a frugal matchup for Betsy that you should keep in your back pocket in case you need an obscure flex.

After Thursday the second half of the round robin begins and the rematches are underway! Don’t let that lull you in though; teams change over time and through the patches, but Nimer’s Note’s will have your back!

(Statistics courtesy of Oracle’s Elixir)